by Ahmad Rahman Songip
Today is the 30th day since the start of Israel-Hamas war on Oct 7, 2023. As a student of Scenario Planning and Post Normal Time as well as based on the happenings on the ground and emerging trends as listed below, I have created the Worst Case Scenario on Israel.
Current happenings and emerging trends:
1. The world is seeing what is happening in real time. Israel has already lost her narrative of being the victim. Israelis and its supporters have lost control on the narrative over social media. Advanced Information Technologies created by the Jews have haunted them back.
2. Supporters of Israel are in the minority – among governments & citizens of the world.
3. The Orthodox Jews are against the Zionists – even in Israel itself.
4. The Zionists are killing their own citizens, especially the elderly, women and children on 7 Oct (when Hamas captured the kibbutz). Since IOF (Israel Occupying Forces) are afraid to confront Hamas fighters face-to-face, the safest and easiest way out was to bomb the kibbutz from a far to kill Hamas fighters.
5. Many more Israelis hostages will be killed by the endless bombings of Gaza and their effort to destroy the tunnels.
6. Many more death among the IOF as they tried to go into Gaza.
7. The IOF are trying various method to destroy the tunnels using sponge bomb, flooding with water and even using nerve gas/chemical weapon.
8. Even before the war, Netanyahu is already facing corruption issue and serious political problem. The country is seriously divided. The Israelis have very low trust on Netanyahu.
9. It was reported that Netanyahu was not given intelligence report on the Hamas plan due to hatred by the Mossad on him. They want him to bear the consequences of Hamas action and be forced to resign.
10. Netanyahu is under pressure (internationally and internal) to stop the war.
11. More Israelis are fleeing Israel, especially among the wealthy and those having dual citizenships.
12. The war has created havoc economically inside Israel – hotels are empty, factories and businesses are closed and supermarkets are out of supplies. Soon people are out of jobs, cash and foods.
13. The Americans have just realized that the US administration has prioritized funding for Israel over its own citizens. They are pressuring the politicians to stop funding and sending weapons to Israel.
14. Some worker unions in European countries have boycotted loading and unloading weapons to Israel.
15. Confrontation with Hezbollah has started, hence draining IOF resources for Gaza.
16. The IOF are afraid of death. Many IOF already chickened out after seeing many of their colleagues died and injured. Many are also reported of seeing ghosts.
17. The Hamas fighters are looking forward to die. How could anyone defeat these kind of ready-to-die fighters?
What happen next:
1. The war is going to be a prolong war, with heavy casualty on both sides.
2. The expensive iron dome will be overwhelmed and unable to provide 24/7 protection to Israel from cheap rockets and drones from Hamas.
3. The number of expensive and sophisticated IOF Merkava tanks destroyed by simple and cheap anti-tank weapons developed by Hamas is increasing on daily basis.
4. The Israelis will only agree to cease fire if they are on the losing side or the supply of weapons and ammunitions from the USA is too slow to arrive.
5. The IOF effort to destroy Hamas tunnels will be of limited success, due to the tunnels intricate designs and almost zero knowledge on the tunnels by IOF.
6. Terrorists attack around the world will increase dramatically, targeting the Americans and Jews around the world. People stormed an airport in Russia upon knowing there was a plane landed from Israel. They are looking for the Jews.
7. Biden is going to lose the US Presidential election on Nov 5, 2024, a mere 1 year from today. Normally, the incumbent US president will be not be re-elected during war time, especially when the US is losing the war. This will be the greatest and sweetest victory to Hamas.
8. The new US president will reduce or even terminate funding and support to Israel due to pressure from their citizens.
9. Citizens of the world will pressure their respective governments to stop supporting Israel and expel Israelis ambassadors. Israel will be a pariah state.
10. Oil import through Turkey will soon stop, crippling further the Israelis.
11. Israelis will never use nuclear weapon to eliminate Hamas or Hezbollah, simply because it will also wipe out Israel as well.
12. Israelis and the US may attack Iran, if it is desperate enough to counter the offensive from Hezbollah and Yemen. It may then trigger a wider war that could lead to WW3.
13. Many Israelis towns will be ghost towns since people are fleeing to other countries.
14. Netanyahu will soon be forced to resign or being killed by Mossad itself. This will also be the greatest and sweetest victory for Hamas.
15. The top Israelis government officials and politicians themselves will also soon be running away from Israel, just like the American Occupying Forces chickened-out and simply fled Afghanistan fully on 30th August 2021. This is the end of the State of Israel!
16. Prediction by Sheikh Ahmad Yassin, the founder of Hamas who was killed by Israeli, on the end of Israel in 2027 may finally become a reality. That’s only about 3 years from today!
